Dat zal wel te optimistisch gedacht zijn. Maar toch blijkt dat er scheurtjes komen in de politieke klimaatreligie.
Duidelijke tekenen komen onder andere uit de G8 bijeenkomst die net in Italië geweest is.
Benny Peiser *) stuurde ons een aantal samenvattingen van recente artikelen over de werkelijke resultaten van de G8.
Daaruit blijkt overduidelijk dat er van de Klimaattop in Kopenhagen niet veel te verwachten valt. Zeker geen echte harde overeenkomst.
En dat zou inderdaad positief zijn.
Een grote vraag daarbij is of de G8 politici dit bewust sturen uit echt inzicht dat de Al Gore verhalen niet kloppen, of uit een realiteitszin dat die wilde huidige klimaatideeën niet te verwezenlijken zijn zonder de economie nog meer kapot te maken, of dat het hen gewoon door de realiteit wordt opgedrongen.
G8 STALEMATE SHOWS IT’S TIME FOR CLIMATE COOL-DOWN
Negotiations over the future of an international climate treaty remain as deadlocked as ever. It seems reasonable to conclude that the diplomatic impasse cannot be overcome in Copenhagen or, indeed, anytime soon. What is needed in these circumstances is a calm deceleration strategy that would cool future climate negotiations and take the wind out of the sails of green campaigners. Such a deliberate slow-down could help to lower the political temperature and turn negotiations into routine events, thereby shedding much of their media hype and agitation. In the run-up to Copenhagen, it will be crucial for governments around the world to come up with fresh approaches and ideas that can lower expectations and manage to direct the permanent stalemate for many years to come.
—Benny Peiser, Financial Post, 11 July 2009
It’s pretty ridiculous if you ask me, I mean I’m surprised I didn’t see the fallacy that [the G8] were introducing in this pledge by not defining the baseline at least. How can you say you will achieve a cut of ‘x’ amount if you don’t even define what the baseline is, what the benchmark is?
–Rajendra Pachauri, IPCC Chairman, ABC News, 9 July 2009
The world’s war on carbon emissions isn’t going well. In just six months, the UN sponsored Copenhagen Conference on Climate Change will seek to launch a worldwide anti-carbon strategy with teeth. Billed by alarmists as “the last chance to save our planet,” all the signs are that Michael Jackson has a better chance of recording new material than Copenhagen has of delivering a meaningful international accord.
–Peter C Glover, Energy Tribune, 10 July 2009
When King Canute of lore wanted to teach his citizens a lesson, he set his throne by the seashore and commanded the tides to roll out. Canute’s spirit was back in business this week at the G-8 summit in Italy, where the assembled leaders declared that the world’s temperature shall not rise. In the legend of Canute, the king, after failing to stop the rising tide, told the assembled crowd: “Let all men know how empty and worthless is the power of kings, for there is none worthy of the name, but He whom heaven, earth and sea obey by eternal laws.” If a medieval monarch could draw the right conclusion, how hard can it be for his sophisticated 21st-century successors?
–The Wall Street Journal, 10 July 2009
Bear in mind, of course, that whatever funding developed countries agree will be derided as inadequate. As will any mid-term targets that they come up with. Negotiating major international agreements is often a thankless task, and never more so than in the field of climate change.
–Fiona Harvey, Financial Times, 10 July 2009